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Sunday 9 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
24% 27% 48%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
48.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 24.3% 4.12
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Olympiakos Piraeus 48.4% 2.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.34
Over 1.5 72.3% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.7% 3.61
Over 2.5 46.0% 2.17
Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.6% 4.07
Under 3.5 75.4% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.02
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.1% 2.00
No 49.9% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 51.6% 1.94
PAOK / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 75.7% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
11.5
9.3
4.7
1.8
0.5
1
7.4
13.0
9.3
4.7
1.8
0.5
2
4.0
6.1
4.6
2.3
0.9
0.3
3
1.4
2.0
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.