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Wednesday 5 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
5–0
HT 1–0
69% 21% 10%
Home win
68.9%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
10.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 68.9% 1.45
Draw 21.0% 4.77
OFI 10.2% 9.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.46
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.80
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.81
Under 3.5 73.8% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.22
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.4% 2.48
No 59.6% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 89.8% 1.11
PAOK / OFI 79.0% 1.27
Draw / OFI 31.1% 3.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
4.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
14.2
9.7
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.5
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.6
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.7
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.