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Sunday 26 January 2014, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
4–1
HT 3–0
73% 18% 8%
Home win
73.2%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
8.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 73.2% 1.37
Draw 18.4% 5.43
Veria 8.4% 11.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.91
Over 1.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.0% 4.35
Over 2.5 52.5% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.5% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.3% 3.30
Under 3.5 69.7% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.9% 6.72
Under 4.5 85.1% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.6% 2.46
No 59.4% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 91.6% 1.09
PAOK / Veria 81.6% 1.23
Draw / Veria 26.8% 3.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
3.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.0
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.7
8.9
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
6.4
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.8
3.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.