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Sunday 22 December 2013, 15:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
76% 17% 7%
Home win
76.2%
Draw
16.6%
Away win
7.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 76.2% 1.31
Draw 16.6% 6.01
Levadiakos 7.2% 13.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.06
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.81
Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.2% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.4% 3.00
Under 3.5 66.6% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.1% 5.86
Under 4.5 82.9% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 92.8% 1.08
PAOK / Levadiakos 83.4% 1.20
Draw / Levadiakos 23.8% 4.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.2
7.8
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
14.7
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.4
6.7
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.6
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.