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Sunday 15 December 2013, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
2–5
HT 1–2
21% 25% 54%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
54.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 20.5% 4.88
Draw 25.0% 3.99
PAOK 54.5% 1.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.66
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.2% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.0% 1.92
No 48.0% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 45.5% 2.20
AEL Kallonis / PAOK 75.0% 1.33
Draw / PAOK 79.5% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
10.8
10.0
5.8
2.5
0.9
1
5.8
11.9
9.8
5.6
2.4
0.8
2
3.2
5.5
4.8
2.8
1.2
0.4
3
1.0
1.8
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.