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Monday 2 December 2013, 19:30 Stadio Zosimades Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
30% 32% 39%
Home win
29.7%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
38.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 29.7% 3.37
Draw 31.5% 3.17
PAOK 38.8% 2.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.56
Over 1.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 2.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 2.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.9% 6.30
Under 3.5 84.1% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.46
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 61.2% 1.63
PAS Giannina / PAOK 68.5% 1.46
Draw / PAOK 70.3% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
13.2
7.9
3.0
0.8
0.2
1
11.1
14.2
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
5.7
6.4
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.8
2.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.