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Sunday 27 October 2013, 17:15 Stadio Verias Full time
2–2
HT 2–2
38% 33% 29%
Home win
38.3%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
29.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 38.3% 2.61
Draw 32.6% 3.07
PAS Giannina 29.1% 3.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.8% 6.75
Over 1.5 59.3% 1.69
Under 1.5 40.7% 2.46
Over 2.5 31.4% 3.18
Under 2.5 68.6% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.7% 7.31
Under 3.5 86.3% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 20.15
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 70.9% 1.41
Veria / PAS Giannina 67.4% 1.48
Draw / PAS Giannina 61.7% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.8
11.7
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
14.2
14.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.0
7.2
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.9
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.