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Sunday 20 October 2013, 16:00 Stadio Verias Full time
49% 29% 23%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 48.9% 2.05
Draw 28.5% 3.51
Aris Thessalonikis 22.6% 4.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.33
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.2% 3.11
Over 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.2% 4.96
Under 3.5 79.8% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.85
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.3% 2.21
No 54.7% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 77.4% 1.29
Veria / Aris Thessalonikis 71.5% 1.40
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 51.1% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
8.0
3.9
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
13.4
13.3
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
8.9
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
4.8
4.2
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.