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Monday 5 November 2012, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
44% 34% 22%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
21.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 44.2% 2.26
Draw 33.9% 2.95
Veria 21.9% 4.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 0.5 18.1% 5.52
Over 1.5 53.0% 1.89
Under 1.5 47.0% 2.13
Over 2.5 25.6% 3.90
Under 2.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 3.5 10.1% 9.90
Under 3.5 89.9% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.3% 30.30
Under 4.5 96.7% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.1% 3.03
No 66.9% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 78.1% 1.28
Aris Thessalonikis / Veria 66.1% 1.51
Draw / Veria 55.8% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.1
10.9
3.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.0
13.3
4.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
10.1
6.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
3.6
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.