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Sunday 30 September 2012, 20:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
59% 27% 14%
Home win
59.3%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
13.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.3% 1.69
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Aris Thessalonikis 13.8% 7.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 7.99
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.9% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.97
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.29
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.1% 2.77
No 63.9% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 86.2% 1.16
PAOK / Aris Thessalonikis 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 40.7% 2.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
6.5
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.5
11.6
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
8.4
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.1
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.