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Sunday 20 May 2012, 20:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
50% 30% 20%
Home win
49.7%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
20.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 49.7% 2.01
Draw 30.1% 3.33
Atromitos 20.3% 4.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.44
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.94
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.47
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 17.05
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.2% 2.55
No 60.8% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 79.7% 1.25
PAOK / Atromitos 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Atromitos 50.3% 1.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
8.7
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
16.0
13.2
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
8.2
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
4.9
3.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.