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Monday 7 May 2012, 17:45 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
36% 32% 32%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 36.1% 2.77
Draw 32.1% 3.11
PAOK 31.8% 3.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.18
Over 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.0% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.6% 18.02
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.4% 2.41
No 58.6% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 68.2% 1.47
Atromitos / PAOK 67.9% 1.47
Draw / PAOK 63.9% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
12.0
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
13.1
14.3
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
7.3
7.1
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.