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Sunday 1 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
62% 25% 13%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
13.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 62.0% 1.61
Draw 24.9% 4.02
PAS Giannina 13.1% 7.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.53
Over 1.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.1% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.90
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.67
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.0% 2.57
No 61.0% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 86.9% 1.15
PAOK / PAS Giannina 75.1% 1.33
Draw / PAS Giannina 38.0% 2.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
5.6
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
15.9
11.2
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
8.9
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.8
5.0
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
3.3
2.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.