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Sunday 25 March 2012, 19:30 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
0–4
HT 0–2
22% 27% 51%
Home win
21.9%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
51.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 21.9% 4.57
Draw 27.1% 3.69
PAOK 51.1% 1.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.87
Over 1.5 71.3% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.7% 3.49
Over 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.6% 4.24
Under 3.5 76.4% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.56
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.08
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 48.9% 2.04
AOK Kerkyra / PAOK 72.9% 1.37
Draw / PAOK 78.1% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
12.4
10.1
5.2
2.0
0.6
1
7.1
12.8
9.3
4.8
1.9
0.6
2
3.6
5.6
4.3
2.2
0.9
0.3
3
1.1
1.7
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.