Skip to content
Sunday 14 December 2014, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
79% 15% 6%
Home win
79.1%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
6.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 79.1% 1.26
Draw 14.8% 6.76
AOK Kerkyra 6.1% 16.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.09
Over 1.5 81.7% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.3% 5.46
Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 3.5 37.1% 2.69
Under 3.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 4.5 80.1% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.6% 2.46
No 59.4% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 93.9% 1.06
PAOK / AOK Kerkyra 85.2% 1.17
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 20.9% 4.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
2.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.1
7.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.3
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
12.0
6.9
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
7.6
4.3
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.8
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.