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Sunday 30 November 2014, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–2
HT 1–1
79% 15% 7%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
6.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 78.5% 1.27
Draw 14.8% 6.75
Panthrakikos 6.7% 15.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.19
Over 1.5 83.2% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.8% 5.95
Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.1% 2.62
Over 3.5 39.6% 2.53
Under 3.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 4.5 78.2% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.7% 2.29
No 56.3% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 93.3% 1.07
PAOK / Panthrakikos 85.2% 1.17
Draw / Panthrakikos 21.5% 4.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
10.1
7.1
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
8.5
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.5
7.3
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
7.3
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.8
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.