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Sunday 26 October 2014, 16:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
4–1
HT 2–0
75% 17% 8%
Home win
74.9%
Draw
17.0%
Away win
8.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 74.9% 1.33
Draw 17.0% 5.88
Veria 8.1% 12.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.26
Over 1.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.6% 5.11
Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 3.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.3% 5.45
Under 4.5 81.7% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.29
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 91.9% 1.09
PAOK / Veria 83.0% 1.20
Draw / Veria 25.1% 3.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
2.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
11.3
8.1
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
8.9
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.8
7.0
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
6.3
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.