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Sunday 28 September 2014, 20:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
4–0
HT 4–0
72% 19% 9%
Home win
72.3%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
8.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 72.3% 1.38
Draw 19.2% 5.22
OFI 8.6% 11.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.64
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.54
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.5% 7.42
Under 4.5 86.5% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.6% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 91.4% 1.09
PAOK / OFI 80.8% 1.24
Draw / OFI 27.7% 3.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
3.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.8
8.9
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.0
8.8
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.5
6.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.5
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.