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Saturday 17 May 2014, 20:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
49% 28% 24%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
23.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 48.8% 2.05
Draw 27.6% 3.63
Panathinaikos 23.6% 4.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.77
Over 1.5 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.4% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.4% 4.28
Under 3.5 76.6% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.66
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.7% 2.05
No 51.3% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 76.4% 1.31
PAOK / Panathinaikos 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Panathinaikos 51.2% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
7.5
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
12.0
13.1
5.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.6
9.2
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
4.8
4.6
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.8
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.