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Sunday 4 May 2014, 20:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
48% 28% 24%
Home win
48.1%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
23.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 48.1% 2.08
Draw 28.1% 3.55
PAOK 23.7% 4.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.07
Over 1.5 69.6% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.4% 3.29
Over 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.60
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 76.3% 1.31
Panathinaikos / PAOK 71.9% 1.39
Draw / PAOK 51.9% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
7.9
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
12.5
13.3
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.6
9.0
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
4.6
4.4
2.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.