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Sunday 6 April 2014, 19:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
48% 30% 22%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
22.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 47.8% 2.09
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Atromitos 22.4% 4.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.00
Over 1.5 63.9% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 2.5 36.2% 2.77
Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 3.5 16.9% 5.91
Under 3.5 83.1% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.07
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 77.6% 1.29
PAOK / Atromitos 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Atromitos 52.2% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
8.9
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.8
13.5
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.3
8.4
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
4.5
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.