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Sunday 23 March 2014, 15:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
68% 21% 11%
Home win
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 67.9% 1.47
Draw 21.4% 4.67
PAS Giannina 10.7% 9.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.28
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.35
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.45
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 89.3% 1.12
PAOK / PAS Giannina 78.6% 1.27
Draw / PAS Giannina 32.1% 3.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
4.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
14.2
9.9
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
9.1
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.3
5.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.5
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.