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Sunday 23 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Zosimades Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
55% 27% 17%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 55.3% 1.81
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Veria 17.3% 5.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.86
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.27
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.90
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.2% 2.43
No 58.8% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 82.7% 1.21
PAS Giannina / Veria 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Veria 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
7.0
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.3
12.4
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.1
8.9
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.1
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.