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Sunday 16 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
50% 28% 23%
Home win
49.6%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 49.6% 2.02
Draw 27.8% 3.59
Veria 22.6% 4.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.10
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.30
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.56
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 77.4% 1.29
Aris Thessalonikis / Veria 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Veria 50.4% 1.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
7.6
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
12.8
13.1
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.1
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
4.9
4.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.7
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.