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Sunday 19 January 2014, 15:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
25% 32% 43%
Home win
24.8%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
42.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 24.8% 4.03
Draw 32.4% 3.09
Atromitos 42.8% 2.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.2% 6.58
Over 1.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.6% 3.26
Under 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.2% 7.59
Under 3.5 86.8% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.20
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.62
No 61.8% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 57.2% 1.75
Aris Thessalonikis / Atromitos 67.6% 1.48
Draw / Atromitos 75.2% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.2
15.6
9.4
3.6
1.0
0.2
1
10.7
13.9
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
4.6
5.2
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
1.2
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.