Saturday 4 January 2014, 17:15
Pankritio Stadio
Full time
29%
32%
39%
Home win
28.6%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
39.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Atromitos | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.0% | 7.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.7% | 6.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis / Draw | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Ergotelis / Atromitos | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Atromitos | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.0
|
13.9
|
8.2
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
14.2
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
6.1
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
1-2
Atromitos
Oct 2014
Atromitos
1-1
Ergotelis
Aug 2013
Atromitos
2-2
Ergotelis
Apr 2012
Ergotelis
2-2
Atromitos
Dec 2011
Atromitos
1-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.