Sunday 1 April 2012, 19:00
Pankritio Stadio
Full time
28%
32%
40%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
40.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Atromitos | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.0% | 7.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis / Draw | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Ergotelis / Atromitos | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Atromitos | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.6
|
14.5
|
8.5
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
14.1
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
5.8
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
1-2
Atromitos
Oct 2014
Atromitos
1-1
Ergotelis
Jan 2014
Ergotelis
0-1
Atromitos
Aug 2013
Atromitos
2-2
Ergotelis
Dec 2011
Atromitos
1-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.