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Saturday 17 August 2013, 19:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
61% 26% 13%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
12.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 60.7% 1.65
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Ergotelis 12.8% 7.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.93
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.6% 6.04
Under 3.5 83.4% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.53
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.9% 2.86
No 65.1% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 87.2% 1.15
Atromitos / Ergotelis 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Ergotelis 39.3% 2.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
6.2
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.9
11.2
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.2
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
7.5
4.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.