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Sunday 22 April 2012, 19:00 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
49% 30% 21%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
21.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 48.7% 2.05
Draw 30.3% 3.31
Ergotelis 21.0% 4.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.45
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.45
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.99
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.6% 2.52
No 60.4% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 79.0% 1.27
Xanthi FC / Ergotelis 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Ergotelis 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
8.9
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.8
13.3
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.8
8.2
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
4.7
3.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.