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Wednesday 4 January 2012, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
36% 29% 35%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
35.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 35.7% 2.80
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Xanthi FC 35.5% 2.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.68
Over 1.5 71.1% 1.41
Under 1.5 28.9% 3.46
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.3% 4.30
Under 3.5 76.7% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.72
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.7% 1.97
No 49.3% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 64.5% 1.55
Ergotelis / Xanthi FC 71.2% 1.41
Draw / Xanthi FC 64.3% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
9.7
6.4
2.6
0.8
0.2
1
9.8
13.7
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.5
8.0
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
2.7
3.3
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.