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Saturday 26 November 2011, 17:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
41% 31% 28%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
28.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 40.7% 2.45
Draw 30.8% 3.25
PAS Giannina 28.5% 3.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.08
Over 1.5 64.3% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 2.5 36.6% 2.74
Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.2% 5.81
Under 3.5 82.8% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.73
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.8% 2.28
No 56.2% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 71.5% 1.40
Ergotelis / PAS Giannina 69.2% 1.44
Draw / PAS Giannina 59.3% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
10.3
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.1
14.1
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.3
8.0
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.3
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.