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Sunday 30 October 2011, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
Ergotelis
2–0
HT 2–0
Asteras Tripolis
51% 29% 19%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
19.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 51.3% 1.95 — —
Draw 29.4% 3.40 — —
Asteras Tripolis 19.3% 5.18 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15 — —
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.71 — —
Over 1.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Under 1.5 37.2% 2.69 — —
Over 2.5 35.1% 2.85 — —
Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Over 3.5 16.2% 6.19 — —
Under 3.5 83.8% 1.19 — —
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.07 — —
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.5% 2.53 — —
No 60.5% 1.65 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 80.7% 1.24 — —
Ergotelis / Asteras Tripolis 70.6% 1.42 — —
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 48.7% 2.05 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
8.2
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.0
13.0
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.4
8.4
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.2
3.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Ergotelis
L L L D L
Asteras Tripolis
D L L D D

Head to head

Mar 2015 Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Ergotelis Nov 2014 Ergotelis 1-4 Asteras Tripolis Mar 2014 Asteras Tripolis 2-3 Ergotelis Nov 2013 Ergotelis 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Mar 2012 Asteras Tripolis 3-0 Ergotelis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.