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Sunday 25 September 2011, 16:00 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
7% 8% 85%
Home win
7.4%
Draw
7.5%
Away win
85.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 7.4% 13.59
Draw 7.5% 13.33
Atromitos 85.1% 1.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.1% 862.07
Over 1.5 99.5% 1.01
Under 1.5 0.5% 184.50
Over 2.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 2.5 2.5% 40.60
Over 3.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 3.5 7.0% 14.27
Over 4.5 84.7% 1.18
Under 4.5 15.3% 6.55

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 85.9% 1.16
No 14.1% 7.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 14.9% 6.73
Asteras Tripolis / Atromitos 92.5% 1.08
Draw / Atromitos 92.6% 1.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.3
1.0
1.7
2.3
2.4
1
0.1
0.8
2.0
3.5
4.6
4.8
2
0.1
0.7
2.0
3.4
4.6
4.8
3
0.1
0.5
1.3
2.3
3.0
3.2
4
0.0
0.2
0.6
1.1
1.5
1.6
5
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.6
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.