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Sunday 30 November 2014, 17:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
37% 29% 35%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 36.9% 2.71
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Asteras Tripolis 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.09
Over 1.5 71.9% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.1% 3.56
Over 2.5 45.5% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.5% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.1% 4.14
Under 3.5 75.9% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.25
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.6% 1.94
No 48.4% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 65.4% 1.53
Ergotelis / Asteras Tripolis 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 63.1% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
9.3
6.2
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.7
13.6
7.8
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.7
8.2
5.0
2.0
0.6
0.2
3
2.8
3.5
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.