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Sunday 28 September 2014, 18:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
43% 33% 24%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
24.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 43.0% 2.33
Draw 32.7% 3.06
Panetolikos 24.3% 4.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.7% 6.36
Over 1.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.7% 3.37
Under 2.5 70.3% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.6% 7.96
Under 3.5 87.4% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.61
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.2% 2.69
No 62.8% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 75.7% 1.32
Ergotelis / Panetolikos 67.3% 1.49
Draw / Panetolikos 57.0% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.7
10.8
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
1
16.0
13.8
5.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
9.5
7.3
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
3.6
2.8
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.