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Saturday 14 September 2013, 16:00 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
44% 30% 25%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
25.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 44.1% 2.27
Draw 30.4% 3.29
Ergotelis 25.5% 3.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.04
Over 1.5 64.1% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.9% 2.78
Over 2.5 36.4% 2.75
Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.1% 5.85
Under 3.5 82.9% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.7% 14.89
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.33
No 57.0% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 74.5% 1.34
Panetolikos / Ergotelis 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Ergotelis 55.9% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
9.6
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.9
13.8
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.2
8.2
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.9
3.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.