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Wednesday 18 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
27% 37% 36%
Home win
26.7%
Draw
37.0%
Away win
36.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 26.7% 3.75
Draw 37.0% 2.71
Aris Thessalonikis 36.4% 2.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 0.5 21.4% 4.67
Over 1.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 1.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 2.5 21.1% 4.74
Under 2.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 3.5 7.6% 13.19
Under 3.5 92.4% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.2% 44.46
Under 4.5 97.8% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.2% 3.31
No 69.8% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 63.6% 1.57
Panetolikos / Aris Thessalonikis 63.0% 1.59
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 73.3% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.4
17.3
7.9
2.3
0.5
0.1
1
13.8
13.5
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
5.1
4.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.