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Saturday 24 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
44% 36% 20%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
35.8%
Away win
19.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 44.3% 2.26
Draw 35.8% 2.79
Panionios 19.9% 5.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 0.5 21.4% 4.68
Over 1.5 47.5% 2.11
Under 1.5 52.5% 1.90
Over 2.5 21.1% 4.74
Under 2.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 3.5 7.6% 13.21
Under 3.5 92.4% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.2% 44.56
Under 4.5 97.8% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.4% 3.52
No 71.6% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 80.1% 1.25
Aris Thessalonikis / Panionios 64.2% 1.56
Draw / Panionios 55.7% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.4
11.2
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
20.0
12.6
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
10.4
6.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
3.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.