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Saturday 17 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
41% 36% 23%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
35.9%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 41.0% 2.44
Draw 35.9% 2.79
OFI 23.1% 4.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 0.5 20.6% 4.87
Over 1.5 48.9% 2.05
Under 1.5 51.1% 1.96
Over 2.5 22.2% 4.51
Under 2.5 77.8% 1.28
Over 3.5 8.2% 12.27
Under 3.5 91.9% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.5% 40.39
Under 4.5 97.5% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.4% 3.29
No 69.6% 1.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Aris Thessalonikis / OFI 64.1% 1.56
Draw / OFI 59.0% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.6
12.2
4.2
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.4
13.2
4.1
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
9.3
6.0
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
3.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.