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Sunday 4 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
22% 29% 48%
Home win
22.4%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
48.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 22.4% 4.47
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Olympiakos Piraeus 48.3% 2.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.49
Over 1.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 2.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.2% 5.51
Under 3.5 81.8% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.69
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.1% 2.32
No 56.9% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 51.7% 1.93
OFI / Olympiakos Piraeus 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 77.6% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
14.3
10.3
4.7
1.6
0.4
1
8.5
13.4
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
3.9
5.3
3.6
1.6
0.6
0.2
3
1.1
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.