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Saturday 28 January 2012, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
78% 15% 7%
Home win
77.8%
Draw
14.7%
Away win
7.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 77.8% 1.28
Draw 14.7% 6.80
Ergotelis 7.5% 13.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.41
Over 1.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.5% 6.91
Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.3% 2.92
Over 3.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 3.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.3% 3.96
Under 4.5 74.7% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 92.5% 1.08
Olympiakos Piraeus / Ergotelis 85.3% 1.17
Draw / Ergotelis 22.2% 4.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
2.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
8.6
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
11.9
8.7
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
10.6
7.7
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
7.0
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
3.7
2.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.