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Saturday 7 January 2012, 17:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
45% 30% 25%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
25.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 45.4% 2.20
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Panionios 25.0% 4.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.72
Over 1.5 66.2% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.8% 2.96
Over 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.33
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.08
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.7% 2.24
No 55.3% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 75.0% 1.33
Ergotelis / Panionios 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Panionios 54.6% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
9.0
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.4
13.7
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.4
8.5
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
4.1
3.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.