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Sunday 11 December 2011, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
22% 24% 54%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
53.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 22.3% 4.49
Draw 24.1% 4.14
Panathinaikos 53.6% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.98
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.98
Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 3.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 3.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.6% 5.68
Under 4.5 82.4% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.1% 1.75
No 42.9% 2.33

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 46.4% 2.16
Panionios / Panathinaikos 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Panathinaikos 77.7% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
9.0
8.8
5.4
2.5
0.9
1
5.2
11.4
9.8
6.0
2.8
1.0
2
3.3
6.0
5.5
3.3
1.5
0.6
3
1.2
2.2
2.0
1.2
0.6
0.2
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.