Sunday 24 February 2019, 15:00
Nea Smyrni Stadium
Full time
32%
33%
35%
Home win
31.9%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
35.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.8% | 20.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios / Draw | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Panionios / Panathinaikos | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Panathinaikos | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
13.5
|
7.2
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.6
|
14.3
|
6.8
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
6.4
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
0-1
Panathinaikos
Oct 2018
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
Apr 2018
Panionios
0-3
Panathinaikos
Dec 2017
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panionios
May 2017
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.