Sunday 28 May 2017, 18:15
Apostolos Nikolaidis
Full time
59%
27%
13%
Home win
59.5%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
13.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Panionios | 13.4% | 7.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| No | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Panionios | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Panionios | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.2
|
11.4
|
3.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.2
|
8.1
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
0-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2019
Panionios
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2018
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
Apr 2018
Panionios
0-3
Panathinaikos
Dec 2017
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.