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Wednesday 17 May 2017, 18:15 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
62% 25% 12%
Home win
62.1%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
12.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 62.1% 1.61
Draw 25.5% 3.92
Panionios 12.4% 8.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.52
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.55
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.84
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.79
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 87.6% 1.14
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Panionios 37.9% 2.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
5.8
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.3
11.0
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.5
8.4
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.8
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.