Thursday 6 April 2017, 17:15
Apostolos Nikolaidis
Full time
60%
27%
14%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
13.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Panionios | 13.7% | 7.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Panionios | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Panionios | 40.2% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
6.3
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.2
|
11.5
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.9
|
8.5
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
0-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2019
Panionios
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2018
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
Apr 2018
Panionios
0-3
Panathinaikos
Dec 2017
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.