Saturday 4 March 2017, 19:30
Apostolos Nikolaidis
Full time
81%
14%
5%
Home win
81.0%
Draw
14.4%
Away win
4.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
| Veria | 4.6% | 21.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Veria | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Veria | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
6.4
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.9
|
7.3
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.6
|
5.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2016
Veria
1-1
Panathinaikos
Apr 2016
Panathinaikos
3-2
Veria
Dec 2015
Veria
0-1
Panathinaikos
Mar 2015
Veria
1-0
Panathinaikos
Nov 2014
Panathinaikos
2-1
Veria
Jan 2014
Veria
1-3
Panathinaikos
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.