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Saturday 18 February 2017, 19:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
30% 31% 39%
Home win
30.1%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
38.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 30.1% 3.32
Draw 31.1% 3.21
Panathinaikos 38.8% 2.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.92
Over 1.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.2% 2.76
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.22
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.29
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 61.2% 1.63
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 68.9% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 69.9% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
12.8
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
1
10.8
14.2
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
5.7
6.6
3.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
1.9
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.