Sunday 14 May 2017, 18:15
Nea Smyrni Stadium
Full time
32%
33%
35%
Home win
31.6%
Draw
33.4%
Away win
34.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.5% | 7.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.4% | 22.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios / Draw | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Panionios / Panathinaikos | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Panathinaikos | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.8
|
13.9
|
7.2
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
14.3
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
0-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2019
Panionios
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2018
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
Apr 2018
Panionios
0-3
Panathinaikos
Dec 2017
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.